Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 2044 · ATL → HPN
departs 9:45 AM ET · arrives 12:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
9am departures from ATL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
HPN (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.