Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
DL 2044 · HPN → ATL
departs 12:54 PM ET · arrives 3:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HPN is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.