Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
DL 2130 · MSP → ORD
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 7:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 60%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.