DL 2164 · DTW → RDU

took off 10:27 AM ET · landed 11:40 AM ET (scheduled 10:15 AM ET → 11:57 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2164 · DTW → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?