Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2169
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
DL 2169 · SEA → JNU
departs 4:50 PM PT · arrives 6:26 PM AKDT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 18%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at JNU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JNU?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at JNU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into JNU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
JNU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.