Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2169
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2169 · SEA → JNU
departs 4:50 PM PT · arrives 6:26 PM AKDT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at JNU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JNU?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at JNU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
JNU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.