DL 2234 · BOS → TPA

departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2234 · BOS → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?