DL 2285 · BDL → MSP

departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from BDL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2285 · BDL → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?