Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2298
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 2298 · ORD → LAX
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 58%
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.26 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.