Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2298
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2298 · ORD → LAX
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±11 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.