DL 2323 · AUS → JFK

departs 3:45 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at AUS that day

↑ 3pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2323 · AUS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?