Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2323
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2323 · AUS → JFK
departs 3:35 PM CT · arrives 8:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±6 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.94 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.