Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPA?
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On time or early
74%
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15–30 min late
6%
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30 min–1 hour late
11%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.