Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2438
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
DL 2438 · ATL → SRQ
departs 12:40 PM ET · arrives 2:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 28%
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.7 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 4.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.