DL 2548 · DTW → MIA

departs 2:31 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2548 · DTW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?