Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2572 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

DL 2572 · SAN → SEA

took off 4:30 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:11 PM PT → 7:05 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2572 · SAN → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?