Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2572
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2572 · SAN → SEA
departs 4:11 PM PT · arrives 7:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.