DL 2580 · MSP → SAT

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 5:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2580 · MSP → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?