DL 2667 · MSP → SAT

took off 8:57 AM CT · landed 11:30 AM CT (scheduled 9:00 AM CT → 11:49 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2667 · MSP → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?