DL 2733 · MSP → LGA

departs 7:58 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,260 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2733 · MSP → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?