DL 2822 · STL → DTW

departs 6:09 PM CT · arrives 8:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from STL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2822 · STL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?