Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2847
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 2847 · CLE → MSP
departs 10:48 AM ET · arrives 11:49 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 6%
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3 7%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.