DL 2852 · TPA → DTW

departs 10:41 AM ET · arrives 1:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

DTW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2852 · TPA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?