DL 2896 · BOS → DTW

departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 11:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +35 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

DTW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2896 · BOS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?