Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2896
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2896 · BOS → DTW
departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 11:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 52%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.