Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 3071 · ATL → AVL
departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 8:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.