DL 650 · HNL → JFK

departs 3:50 PM HT · arrives 7:30 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ 3pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.68 in

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 650 · HNL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?