Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 650 · HNL → JFK

departs 3:50 PM HT · arrives 7:30 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from HNL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.19 in

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 650 · HNL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?