DL 848 · SEA → AUS

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 11:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 848 · SEA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?