Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 848 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 848 · SEA → AUS

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 11:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±8 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 848 · SEA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?