Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 854 LANDED 2:12 PM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

DL 854 · ATL → SGF

took off 1:53 PM ET · landed 2:12 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 854 · ATL → SGF

Odds over time