Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 854 LANDED 5:44 PM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

DL 854 · SGF → ATL

took off 3:23 PM CT · landed 5:44 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 854 · SGF → ATL

Odds over time