DL 873 · DFW → LGA

took off 11:06 AM CT · landed 3:06 PM ET (scheduled 10:35 AM CT → 3:10 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 873 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?