Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 894 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

DL 894 · MSY → DTW

departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from MSY are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 894 · MSY → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?