Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 894 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 894 · MSY → DTW

departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ 5pm departures from MSY are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 894 · MSY → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?