Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
F9 1149 · MSP → DEN
departs 10:15 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 27%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.