Schedule: FAA flight plans.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1158 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

F9 1158 · ATL → EWR

took off 7:38 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:04 PM ET → 9:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1158 · ATL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?