Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1258
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 1258 · LAS → TPA
departs 10:18 PM PT · arrives 5:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 42%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.