Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1545
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 1545 · RSW → CLE
departs 8:09 PM ET · arrives 10:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Fri 10/2 44%
Mon 10/5 30%
Wed 10/7 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.