Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1699
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
F9 1699 · LAS → SNA
departs 2:05 PM PT · arrives 3:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.