Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1699
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1699 · LAS → SNA
departs 11:16 AM PT · arrives 12:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SNA that day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.