Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
F9 2280 · CLE → MCO
departs 9:47 PM ET · arrives 12:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 25%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.