Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2280 · CLE → MCO
departs 9:47 PM ET · arrives 12:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.