Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 2445 · ORD → LAX
departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 11:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 58%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.95 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.