Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
F9 2582 · PBI → PHL
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 11:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Fri 10/2 53%
Sat 10/3 37%
Mon 10/5 39%
Wed 10/7 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.39 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.