Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
F9 2882 · DFW → MDW
departs 1:30 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 68%
Fri 10/2 34%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±3 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.