Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2882 · DFW → MDW
departs 6:08 PM CT · arrives 8:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 1.98 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.