F9 2932 · FLL → PHL

departs 8:08 AM ET · arrives 11:05 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.33 in

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2932 · FLL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?