F9 3133 · LGA → CLT

departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 8:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±9 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3133 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?