F9 3199 · MSP → DEN

took off 2:41 PM CT · landed 3:23 PM MT (scheduled 1:16 PM CT → 2:30 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3199 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?